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Saturday 17 November 2018

Should we Really Sit And Wait 50,000 Years For A Reply? Update 13 09 2022

When you read the piece below consider the time the signal is going to take to reach its intended destination:

(c)JidoBG


Arecibo Message explained: How researchers sent the first interstellar radio message
Chelsea Ritschel  The Independent

November 16 2018 marks 44 years since researchers sent humankind’s first interstellar radio message – an achievement Google is celebrating with a Google Doodle.

The Arecibo Message, sent from the Arecibo Observatory in Puerto Rico in 1974, is a three-minute message of exactly 1,679 binary digits – which, if arranged in a specific way, can explain basic information about humanity and earth to extraterrestrial beings.

Scientists sent the message via frequency modulated radio waves to a cluster of stars 25,000 light years away to demonstrate the power of the Arecibo radio telescope, which was the largest and most powerful in the world at the time.

“It was a strictly symbolic event, to show that we could do it,” Cornell University professor of astronomy Donald Campbell recalled of the momentous event.

The event moved some present to tears as researchers contemplated their own existence and knowledge of planets and solar systems.

The hope is that, in many thousands of years, it may reach another living being.

The actual message was devised by a team of researchers from Cornell University led by astronomer and astrophysicist Dr Frank Drake.

When received, the message could be arranged in a grid 73 rows by 23 columns to form a pictograph that represents facts about mathematics, human DNA, planet earth, and humans.

From top down, the seven-part message can show the numbers one to 10, atomic numbers of elements including hydrogen and oxygen, the formulas for the sugars and bases in the nucleotides of DNA, a graphic of the DNA double helix structure, a figure of a human and the population of earth at the time, a graph of the solar system, and a graph of the telescope.

Since the Arecibo message was sent, the message has travelled just 259 trillion miles – a fraction of its journey to its intended destination, which will take roughly 25,000 years to complete.​



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25,000 years for the message to reach its destination. If it reaches an intelligent life form -if- there is the 25,000 year wait for a returned message. Now, personally, I think sending a message to show off is pointless.  I certainly do not care when it gets to its final destination.  I won’t be alive and I think it is fair to say that no one alive today will be!




Will Earth still be here in 50,000 years?  Humanity? And those are the two minor questions because the main one is will any civilization exist in the area the signal is heading?  Rather like the Voyagers (I and II) their journeys will take thousands upon thousands of years if they are not destroyed in some collision and, again, this was showing off.  Planetary information from both was fantastic so why not just set them to randomly float around the solar system.  I know there are a lot of problems because of age and so on but surely someone must have thought it better to keep roaming our system than become a piece of space litter?


Above: Pioneer 10 launched in 1972
Below: The plaque carried by Pioneer 10



I really do not care that in 40, 60 or 100,000 years an alien space ship may find one of our probes.  To them it may well send a cheery message of “there was intelligent life” out in space.

Again, I personally do not think any advanced alien civilisation would be using radio signals or sending out probes to say “Hello. We’re dead now –sorry you missed us!”

The Andromeda galaxy has an estimated (it may be raised in number at some point) 1 trillion stars. The European Space Agency’s (ESA) Gaia space craft is 3D scanning space and has made somke excellent discoveries. It has created a 3D map of 1.7 billion stars in the Milky Way. Read this item if you are interested: https://www.space.com/40406-gaia-release-color-milky-way-map.html

 



The European Space Agency released a new map of nearly 1.7 billion stars from the Gaia spacecraft, giving the best-ever view of the Milky Way and neighboring galaxies in color.

Credit: ESA/Gaia/DPAC

Here is a little fact: As of the 1st November, 2018, there have been 3,874 confirmed planets in 2,892 systems, with 638 systems having more than one planet. If you want more information on how these are detected and distances from Earth then there is a very good Wikipedia entry here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exoplanet

We should all know about the “Goldilocks Zone” where we would expect to find habitable or Earth-like planets. So here is another little fact for you: in November of 2013, astronomers reported, based on Kepler space mission data, that there could be as many as 40 billion Earth-sized planets orbiting in the habitable zones of Sun-like stars and red dwarfs in the Milky Way, 11 billion of which may be orbiting Sun-like stars.



©Jonahl613   Histogram Chart of Discovered Exoplanets as of 26th November2017

Remember that we only recently discovered “Ghost Galaxies” and that there are suns that travel between galaxies –when it comes to knowing about our solar system and the universe our knowledge is of perhaps about 0.5%.

We should be sending radio signals and messages shorter distances and, considering objects the size of Oumuamua are only discovered by chance, we need to make sure any signals are broadcast throughout our solar system.

Science also needs to get involved in the subject of UFOs but only in the sense of looking at the data and assessing reports –unexplained does not mean “alien” but it would offer us a basic data base to build on and study.  The unwillingness to do this is unscientific and, I believe, cowardly. Hopefully it is just through closed minds rather than fear that their highly paid jobs might be at stake.

That those involved with SETI will not become involved is, to a degree, and we have to be honest, it is understandable. Hopkins, Jacobs et al have made it so that the subject has become farcical. “Millions” of people abducted year in and year out to create a race of alien half-wits.

But we need to concentrate on those reports both old and new that have largely been left untainted and there are many. 

*We are not talking about hundreds of flying saucer crashes and many hundreds of dead aliens

*We are not even looking at extra terrestrials visiting Earth over the centuries as there is no evidence of this except that presented by the bunko crew. 

*We are certainly not talking about “many millions” of alien abductees. 

*We are not talking hundreds or thousands of extra terrestrial space craft being sighted each year.

What we are talking about is far less, rarer activity and, being honest again, re-assessing all of the old reports has left me realising that there is evidence there –even if only anecdotal. 100% evidence is not possible since if landing traces, radiation and other physical evidence is ignored by sceptical ufologists and debunkers (the same thing) or simply waved off as being unexplainable and therefore “not evidence” I doubt that anything would convinced a closed and frightened mind.

By definition, and I find this almost laughable, doing the work I am it is safe to say I am far more involved in SETI than most of those working within SETI!

We really need to get our act together and forget what might happen in 50,000 years!

Tuesday 13 November 2018

The United States CE3K/AE File

I mentioned previously that the CE3K/AE file for the United States was completely out of proportion to any other file. Looking at European reports combined the total number still does not exceed those from the United States.

Here I am photographed risking a wrist fracture holding the old United States file.
The problem comes when you go through the cases one-by-one. Most of the modern online accounts are said to have "been investigated by (insert name)".  However, if you go back to the original sources you read these 'investigators" stating that "according to news reports" and "looking over the news accounts".

They never 'investigated' any case -everything was investigated by press cuttings.  This was and still is the preferred method of ufologists.  I have mentioned before how ufologists, deciding to look at a case 20 or so years after the event, have criticized journalists for not thoroughly investigating a case or leaving out details. Yes, you see, journalists are there to fill news columns and I have yet to meet any that have accurately reported on a case: journalists are not there to investigate UFO reports -that, supposedly, is what the ufologists are supposed to do.

Even when ufologists do get involved a report is rarely investigated.  The ufologist(s) get what they want and move on. 

For instance: the 2nd November, 1973, UFO encounter of Lyndia Morel, near to Goffstown, New Hampshire.  It is often referred to online and in print and there are references to "abduction" and "missing time!  Walter Webb, of the Aerial Phenomena Research Organization (APRO) and Betty Hill (the Betty Hill) looked into the case and their final report ends with Morel pulling into a driveway of a house (fearing she was going to be abducted) and alerting the household -the occupiers contacted the police and an officer duly arrived on the scene. Everyone, including the cop, saw the UFO.  Well, not if you read the actual report because it is made quite clear that the object they were observing was the planet Mars.

That is where the story ends.  Seriously, no abduction indicated. No missing time. Case concluded.

And that seems to have been the end of this "thoroughly investigated UFO abduction".  My question has to be "What happened?"  No follow-ups or attempts to see whether Morel later recalled something had happened?

This was an 'investigated' case and there are many more like this.  There are far more that were never investigated before and after because the report involved "little green men" -Lorenzens were only really interested in abduction reports (as outlined in UFO Contact?) and what they could get out of those cases, not necessarily for science!

There are many hundreds of reports that just would not pass scrutiny.  This feeds into the hands of debunkers and "sceptical ufologists" (debunkers).

Below, the US file with each little tab denoting a report.


There is absolutely no way that I intend to include post 1980s "alien abductions" -again, my thoughts on this are covered in UFO Contact? but the major problem is that the work of noted "abduction researchers" such a John Carpenter, Budd Hopkins and David Jacobs have now had their work discredited and each aspect of the  "Grey Alien Abduction Agenda" has been negated from missing foetus to alien implants.

I do not rule out the possibility of one off alien abduction events (again, see UFO Contact?) but I think that we need to look at the reports pre Hopkins/Jacobs.

As of yesterday (12th November), I have divided the USA file into two separate volumes: Volume 1:1900 -1969  and Volume 2: 1970 on.

I have asked ufologists in the United States whether they would be willing to look into old reports -UFO cold cases? So far I have had 100% negative responses.

The 1966 Kathy Reeves/Reeves Farm events -even the Centre for UFO Studies only had a reference to an article in the Flying Saucer Review (emailed from Dr Mark Rodheiger 5th November, 2018). This case has been so badly reported on by John Keel, Loren Coleman and many others who today practice copy and paste 'research'.

I come across these reports and, to be honest, I do not think that I have enough years left to investigate all of them -that should be the task of American ufologists but they are not interested. There are four cases I hope to follow up on but the workload shows why this really doew need funding!

So when you read all of those cases online PLEASE do your own research and try to get to the truth and do not accept what ufologists tell you at face value.

Sunday 11 November 2018

It's Called The Phenomena of Disappointment


I must admit that I am very disappointed.  On the 29th October I announced that the first issue of the AOP Journal was available.  Since that time there have been several thousand views of the announcement.

And sales have totalled....zero

Now as it seems that no one wants to buy any of the books I have written -three sold since 2010- I thought that a 52 pages publication that was non-sensationalist and offered facts for £6 would be seen as a bargain.

The total lack of interest has made me decide that the amount of work involved in a regular, quarterly is not worth it.  It takes a lot of time and energy and a hell of a lot of work to produce a 52 pager so to continue a publication that has attracted no interest is pointless.  It does mean that I have now also shelved the Special Issues dealing with specific cases or subjects.

The first issue will be online store until it or I am gone. NO -there will be no freebies and certainly no free download version.

AOP JOURNAL 1

Paperback,
52 Pages
Price: £6.00 (excl. VAT)
Prints in 3-5 business days
Technical and scientific based journal looking at what has become known as "UFOs" -including natural phenomena some not yet scientifically understood. This is NOT a sensationalist publication but will contain fully referenced articles and reports to help promote further serious study.

Thursday 8 November 2018

Oumuamua...now come the spatty little kids!

I do not like being the "I told you so" type but a few days later and we now have the alleged science types joining in on the Oumuamua story.

At times science types behave like the debunkers, ufologists and cryptozoologists and Bigfooters. They will name call and make comments that sound as though they are coming from bratty little kids. Just read the comments presented here:

Now I do -I really do- understand the sort of thing that leads to scientists saying "It ain't aliens!"  however, perhaps the most foot-stamping brat-like and unscientific attitude is the one resulting in "It's never aliens!"  The only greater stupid and totally unscientific comment (Dr Brian Cox gets the gold cup here) is: "There is no alien life.  They will have killed themselves by now!"  Yes, the man who promotes science and its principles had a dumb-ass brain-mouth fart.

The internet has made it so that every moron or attention seeker gets their few minutes of stupidity. Here is the thing though; astronomers will insult other astronomers because their theories are different. The point of Science is that you unbiasedly gather and study the data.  You can then formulate a theory and present it in a paper that gets published and peer reviewed.  Points and problems in the theory are discussed. 

Now you see why these people never even bother assessing a UFO report; it is because ego and self importance and a nicely paid sit-on-your-ass-all-day job is their world.  I do not care what who tweets. Write a paper or post a sensible response online. You want people to pay attention to you so you tweet a lot?  Kid, maybe your employers should look at what actual work you do.

The New Mexico Solar Observatory was not closed down because a massive fleet of alien space craft emerged through a black from one universe and out of our sun. Seriously...that theory comes from someone who fell and badly bumped their head.  However, you have a scientific theory on how that would even work I am interested. Incidentally, the closure did not occur as we were about the be "hit by an extinction level solar eruption" and 'Nibiru' was not about to collide with Earth.  Use logic and a brain cell.

Oh, the faults with telescopes in space was due to a cover-up of alien craft (some Earth sized apparently) passing through our solar system.

The internet can be useful but appears full of 90% garbage -from scientific and unscientific sources.

"It's never aliens!" is a statement that needs to be quantified each time it is used and not tweeted like some fart that has been building up all day.  In facts, farts provide a useful function.

So I wonder, do the "It's never aliens!" fraternity just have continuing spats with the SETI and CETI people -their colleagues?  They seem to support SETI/CETI but then suggest that there are no aliens...so SETI/CETI ought to ignore any signals it picks up because "It's not aliens!"?

It goes to show why I think that there are too many attention seeking, money-grubbers in astronomy. These people will not take the time to explain things to the public in a simple way so that things are understood yet will jump in and have a hissy-fit on Twitter after everything is over because they then feel safe.  Imagine if when Oumuamua was detected they screeched out of their prams "It's not aliens!" and a few days later it was announced that odd signals came from the object?  It's heading out of our solar system and we are still not clear what Oumuamua is.  My bet is space debris -a fragment of space rock.

"Space" is massive and we do not really know 1% about it.  We make discoveries all the time and offer explanations...that get shot down until a new theory arrives. Nothing is 100% proven every time. It is data gathering and theories.

Those in Science need to act like adult.

As for METI -Messaging Extraterrestrial Intelligence" -they are messaging who now?? Well, it's there to make a "study of alien contact" -including UFO reports?  I think I need to find out what METI is exactly and how many messages they've answered :-P


‘Oumuamua, oh my! Was interstellar object actually an alien solar sail? Not so fast

Alan Boyle,GeekWire

Pontejos Santander Spain -6th January, 1969

I have the following notes and images on this incident and they were sent to me by someone many years ago but with no source.  If anyone can...